GST 2.0 to Drive India’s Next Consumption Boom: Nitin Raheja

As India approaches the next phase of its tax reforms, “GST 2.0” is set to play a pivotal role in fueling the country’s consumption-driven growth, according to market expert Nitin Raheja, Executive Director at Julius Baer India. The next generation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) framework aims to simplify compliance, expand the tax base, and make indirect taxation more efficient — all of which could trigger a surge in consumer spending and business expansion.

The Vision Behind GST 2.0

Introduced in 2017, the Goods and Services Tax unified India’s complex indirect tax structure into a single national tax system. Now, with nearly eight years of experience, the government is preparing for a major overhaul — GST 2.0 — that focuses on ease of doing business, digital integration, and sectoral rationalization.

According to Nitin Raheja, this reform is expected to reduce friction in supply chains, lower costs for businesses, and boost disposable income, leading to stronger consumption across sectors such as FMCG, automobiles, real estate, and retail.

Key Reforms Expected Under GST 2.0

While official details are awaited, policy experts and tax professionals expect the following features in GST 2.0:

  • Rate Rationalization: Possible merger of the 12% and 18% slabs into a single median rate to simplify structure.
  • Better ITC Flow: Seamless input tax credit with automated reconciliation to prevent blockage of working capital.
  • Inclusion of New Sectors: Gradual integration of petroleum products, electricity, and real estate under the GST framework.
  • Stronger Data Analytics: AI-driven audit trails to detect evasion and improve compliance efficiency.
  • Simplified Returns: One nation, one return — with an intuitive filing interface and better linkage to e-invoices.

The Growth Connection

Raheja emphasized that India’s consumption story is closely tied to its tax efficiency and business confidence. GST 2.0 is expected to bring a new wave of formalization, enabling small and medium businesses to scale faster through digital tax systems.

“As compliance becomes simpler and more transparent, businesses can focus more on innovation and expansion rather than paperwork. This will directly feed into India’s next consumption boom,” Raheja stated.

Economists believe that GST 2.0 could add 0.5% to 1% to India’s GDP growth over the medium term, provided reforms are implemented with minimal disruption.

Challenges Ahead

However, experts caution that rate rationalization and ITC reforms must be implemented carefully to avoid short-term revenue shocks to states. Consensus-building through the GST Council will be crucial, especially on the inclusion of petroleum and electricity.

Moreover, ensuring robust digital infrastructure for small taxpayers remains a key challenge before rolling out the next phase.

The Road Ahead

With the government expected to unveil GST 2.0 discussions in the upcoming fiscal year, the reform holds immense promise for India’s next decade of growth. A simplified, tech-driven, and transparent GST regime could not only attract investments but also empower millions of consumers through lower costs and better accessibility.

If executed effectively, GST 2.0 could become the foundation of India’s next consumption and growth cycle, transforming the economy into a more agile, inclusive, and globally competitive system.


FAQs

1. What is GST 2.0?
GST 2.0 refers to the upcoming reform phase of the Goods and Services Tax system, focused on simplification, digital integration, and inclusion of new sectors.

2. How will GST 2.0 impact consumers?
With reduced tax friction and better compliance, businesses can pass on cost benefits to consumers, leading to lower prices and higher spending power.

3. Will petroleum and electricity be included under GST 2.0?
Yes, policymakers are considering the inclusion of petroleum products and electricity to create a truly unified national tax system.

4. What sectors will benefit the most?
FMCG, auto, retail, and real estate are expected to gain significantly from improved efficiency and formalization under GST 2.0.

5. When will GST 2.0 be implemented?
The timeline is yet to be officially announced, but discussions are expected in the coming fiscal year through the GST Council and Finance Ministry consultations.

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